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desperately wanted attention to the movement today! Unicredito

The hourly chart is drawing a bearish pullback under the support of the evolving TV channel about which I reported on June 29.

The movement appears to be caused by traders looking for confirmation on the premises of the 11.80 level and I think we should wait evetuali increases the exhaustion of this corrective movement.

In the medium to long term this oscillation does not change in any so the bullish view. Any violation will be the level at 11.80 to creak ominously in the scaffolding on which they rely bullish.

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: despite the fall in the canal remains bullish

be argued that a title is well made graphically and have it taken down by 3% in a session is not to be the best of life. But the bag looks like this: take it or leave it.
But I must confess that for someone like me who moves a long term -3% on a day meant hardly less than historical violations, and this is not the case. fact, if the bearish movement should stop here bullish assumptions that I have already described the 23 June be confirmed and perhaps even force. The bullish channel indicated by the green arrow is inviolate. So for the moment nothing new. A purely technical d ages indicate that the figure drawn by UNICREDITO is characteristic of the times of high volatility.

Tengo portfolio securities.

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grows but its cycle is bearish, it will not spark.

In the rush to write about ACEA June 16 I made a mistake with the date of interruption of the trend. I said that the trend would stop at 18 € in the summer of 2008, however, things are a bit 'different, the interruption should always be 18 € in the summer of 2007 as stated January 6, 2006 (the analysis is accessible in pdf format at the link http://www.lepaginedeisoldi.it/analisi_2006 / acea20060102.pdf ).
The possibility exists that I'm wrong now and what I wrote on June 16 was right, but today the data available to me indicates that things will be as shown in the attached graph. My count the time remaining for the current bullish wave applied to the involute parabolic projects to June 2007 values \u200b\u200bof 18 €. This value corresponds to 62.8% bearish wave 2000-2003 that following the rules dictated by the rules is a Fibonacci level is highly sensitive and where the chances of reversal are high.
data available on ACEA when the fit between the securities that is out of phase between those with a main loop than the rest of the market. A sharp fall in the coming months with values \u200b\u200bin heavy oversold denials and may force me to redo the calculations, but today ACEA shows that you have counted the months before stopping this nice upside, do not forget, part of the € 3.18. The decline that followed the termination of this wave rally will be long and deep and more likely to lead the way below the historic low.
Under my portfolio, I will see what to do in 2007.

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MEDIASET: Fibonacci goes into orbit! STM

Maybe not as technical analyst worth a butt, but as the author of science fiction novels are a force! I sent into orbit Fibonacci, although in his day the sun revolved around the earth that was still a disc and not a sphere. But in all seriousness the desire to experiment I do not miss ever, this time I wanted astrarmi the usual fees (well, maybe I was already abstract enough) and I wanted to tilt the lines of Fibonacci retracements. The result applied to the graph of MEDIASET is not bad. The 1997-2009 bull cycle is assumed.
the title if it were to follow parabolic channel could take the road indicated by green broken line. Viewed thus exceeding the record high it should be regarded as a double top with all its implications bearish later.
If my theory were correct MEDIASET securities in the portfolio that I should appreciate by over 200% over the next three years. Offices
wonder if there's some studies that rely analyst who think like me?

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No News in the long run the STM. I remain of the opinion that it is working on a huge bull run and I put Convenga portfolio securities. I know that possibility of error in this regard are extremely high but the charm of technical analysis is to project evolved out scenarios that may seem absurd at the time.
In the absence of new signals to comment I can delight in the long run to analyze hourly chart that given the volatility of this title, favorite of day traders, provides interesting ideas.
STM is still in a parabolic channel of short-term oriented negatively. On June 27 ranged up to values \u200b\u200bclose to € 12 but closed the day with an optimistic message having confirmed the presence of the involute dish support marked in red. Closures under 12.20 would be seen with concern for the positions covered by the rule bullish while hiking in the 12.30 and 12.60.
will exit from the top of the parabolic short channel oriented in the negative signal the rise. The signal could have come with the closing on Friday 30.

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prepares to take

Eventually the Italians have given a clear indication, the law does not change the laws. The interpretations that can be given are different, perhaps more realistic is that the public did not like the manner of change of the Constitution a bit 'too forced in the legislature previous year. We'll see if the current majority will succeed in putting together the pieces of this parliament, and especially if you keep the promise to bring the reduction of parliamentary measure even more significant than it did the cdl.

Meanwhile, on a day in which the Italians were more concerned about the fate of the national soccer team that the constitutional referendum, the stock closed praise it without shame. STM instead lost almost one giving me a starting point for an analysis of the hourly chart.

We see the analysis: The pause that yesterday STM was meant to get laid the foundations for the formation of a parabolic canal very short term oriented denies tively. This figure has special graphics very interesting from the strong bullish implications in case of violation to the top. The violation of the involute parabolic resistance would facilitate the resumption of the rise that can be with or without a pullback. The pullback is always desirable since an outbreak occurs, the excursions of the graph are more pronounced and durable.

brief analysis does not alter in any way the prospects for long-term expressed in the above analysis is totally confirmed.

The title is to be included in the portfolio.

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UNICREDITO: excellent signal

While I was zapping on the satellite channels in the clear I stumbled on Bloomberg in German. I do not understand a word of German, however, seeing an analyst who commented on a chart I paused to listen. Surprise, spoke of Unicredito. Who knows what they said.

Meanwhile I note that the rise of yesterday drew a candle outside the training graphics contained two involute parabolic negatively oriented. This is a very positive signal that sounds like a liberation. The graph is now free to oscillate within the channel marked with the green arrow. There may also be a return to 5.80 first to resume the upward path. I do not rule out price fluctuations of the channel, which could be carefully monitored as abnormal signal, at least at this time.

At this point you just have to wait patiently for the violation of the previous record high for this title will be the theme of the summer.

Tengo portfolio securities.

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SAIPEM

I received a polite reminder to talk again of SAIPEM. Before presenting the analysis, I review the charts that I have in the works. There is an interesting evolution dish that goes beyond my experience as a technical analyst. This new world, uncharted for me, is proving very interesting. Unfortunately at the moment, without the necessary checks, I can not express myself as the differences between the results obtained are very divergent. It remains, however, confirmed the positive cycle going with the safe passing of the all-time high by 2009.

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be explored a bit 'of order between blog and website

I put a little 'order between blog and website. From this point all the analysis on the blog will also be accessible in pdf format at http://www.lepaginedeisoldi.it . So I entered in the database ( http://www.lepaginedeisoldi.it/archivio.html the last major analysis of ACEA, FIAT, Mediolanum and STM, who wanted to download them to come forward.

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MEDIOLANUM and STM: twin sisters?

I'll be back on the cycles, a subject dear to me.
few days ago about STM watched as the bull cycle in the course had very specific characteristics accented by the bubble of 2000. It 'just a goddamn bubble and the burst that made her think to most people, myself included, that we find ourselves at the conclusion of a positive cycle of years. The negative trend that followed was so isolated from the growing trend distorting the speech on the previous cycles.
MEDIOLANUM Looking at the chart of the similarities with the graph of STM are significant, seem to be twins. If what is stated on STM was applied to MEDIOLANUM the conclusion of the cycle could be projected to 2009 close to € 24 .

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ACEA, clever and diligent. STM

In recent weeks, indexes and bonds have gone up and down as if they were on a roller coaster. The volatility has made it the boss for the joy of day traders. In this
downs ACEA has distinguished itself as a good schoolgirl who did his homework every day. Even when the indices were on the brink of a nervous breakdown this title did doubt his positive future.
The previous high pressures has held up perfectly good basis for forming bearish bullish restart. Where will
ACEA?
€ 18 by the summer of 2008.

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a truly extraordinary

cycles are at the heart of trading. Talking often helps to understand them. When I try to identify the primary being a title that is often contrary to the trend. Select a bullish and bearish trend. Cycle bearish and bullish trend. But how is this possible? The answer is simple: the oscillations can be so strong and wide that the trend within a cycle can also reverse for years without reversing the primary level.
A title that is truly amazing features STM, its bull cycle began in 1998 but since 2000 who has suffered in the portfolio.
What can you expect from a title in 2000 and is worth 80 € decreased up to 12 € without having yet completed its positive cycle? Simple, to end the cycle needs to exceed the previous high. This is pure madness or is there any chance of this happening? STM can return over 80 €?
I am convinced that this might actually occur returning great rewards to investors by 2009.
I shot too big? :-))

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The maximum cycle of 2000 will be ground ...

continue the search for signals useful in predicting the future of the market. The declines of recent weeks have helped to clarify the situation.
Until a few weeks ago, the signals at hand suggested a hypothesis that would be bullish development Spent the summer of 2007. With the new evidence provided by the fall of the past weeks the count puts the interruption of the positive trend in 2009.
positive cycle in progress started in 2003 is therefore intended to last six years, bringing the bags over the high of 2000.
We face the longest and most sustained rise in markets in decades. When will this trend? Today I could say that the trend will end in 2009 or 2010, but corrections similar to the one that occurred recently may further expand this forecast, bringing it to 2012.

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trend end 2007 or 2010? Sale

This week I discussed the situation HIGHWAYS. The push and pull on the merger with Spaniards intrigued me. I wanted to see what conclusions would be reached. Surprisingly, the response was that the growth phase has not ended and that even if he is faced with additional spaces that will be developed for a long time, until the end of 2009.

last analsi of MEDIASET I found no trace of a similar indication. It 'obvious that this opens a very interesting analysis of the face (at least for me that I deal with medium-long term).

Meanwhile, the performance of the portfolio continues to grow. The only discordant note 's ETF ISHARES S & P 500 dell'aprezzamento that due to the euro over the dollar is losing value against to the stock purchase. The analysis of cross between the two currencies without immediate spaces like getting up at 1.30 euro. Worrying that the positive trend could continue over time until 2009, bringing the euro / dollar rate to 1.50. It will be one of the tests that we should work more.

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oil? Patience, SAIPEM is +104% ...

The news today with the highest score made from oil are certainly negative for the country. However, I must be honest and admit that after the lifting of the oil makes me smile. On December 22, 2005 analyzing the graph of WTI had commented: " The graph of oil prices over the past six years has progressed bullish channel that creates a perfect dish. It 's rare to see such well-structured channels. It 'also an evolving middle dish. The maximum of $ 70 last summer will certainly met and exceeded by 2006. Future prospects for petroleum titles are extremely positive. "The full analysis with the chart found in the archive at this link http://www.lepaginedeisoldi.it/analisi_2005/wti_crude_oil20051222.pdf .

then I look at my portfolio to see smile still SAIPEM that has exceeded 104% * as it is held from February 2005 to 10.045 € and does not seem willing to show signs of disruption trend.

In the coming days I will do an analysis on which Japan has provided a few days ago a very important signal. Let me time to digest the graphs.

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BULGARI - springboard to 10 €

I updated the card BULGARI which rose before him a future. Will be keeping the level at 10 € which will provide support to deal with more ambitious goals.
Among other thiols that are giving important feedback signals is ACEA violent shaking that is attacking with a previous high. In the coming days I think that definitely will win the day. Even MEDIASET testado is an important support that should lead to a sprint title that is suffering for some time perhaps for electoral reasons.

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Update the CAC and the DAX

I updated the boards of the DAX CAC . This week
great movement on bank stocks through CAPITALIA that continues to give great satisfaction to its investors. I went out to 6.14 assuming a temporary growth arrest with the intention of returning to lower prices and thus enjoy the restart. I made the same mistake 12 September 2004 when, having borne the title at 2.43, I came to 2.74 thinking to buy back the securities at 2.60. The next morning CAPITALIA opened at 2.87 leaving only one possibility: reopen the position immediately. It was then that I decided to leave to others the scalping that obviously was not and is not for me. Now I feel like a passenger who got off the train at the wrong station again if he sees his nose. That is, the bag is made that way, "Sell earn and repent." Meanwhile, I got on the train UNICREDITO that seems determined to leave immediately even though I think the way he has to do is long.
I submit the graph of LUXOTTICA which exceeded a previous high and is well placed inside a nice parabolic channel. Maybe in the next few days we see if it should become an opportunity to be seized.

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careful UNICREDITO

I updated the card UNICREDITO whose graph has assumed a form very interesting. According to me in the coming months is expected to reach at least EUR 10.
As I momentarily abandoned CAPITALIA, waiting to see whether or not there will be a retracement, I opened a position on UNICREDITO whose target bulls are very respectable.

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UNICREDITO, I think that should be keeping an eye

Yes, I think that this title might hold some big surprises. Its structure is extremely graphic detail. Overcoming the historical high is a signal that should make us think a lot. I do not want anticipate anything here that I go to prepare the analysis, but does not surprise me to see this title in a few months to 10-12 €.

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SAIPEM, BULGARI and FIAT: A day to frame

I do not think I have ever put in a single day in a row +12% , +4%, +3% . SAIPEM today and flew in a session has done what many titles are in a year. When you put it in my portfolio in February 2005 to 10.045 I knew he would give me satisfaction. Today, the margin is higher than 80%, I would say that a title you can not ask for more. His target, however, has not yet been reached so for the moment is still there. Looking at the graphs of BULGARI its positive story does not seem over yet, I think it's too early to close positions. FIAT meanwhile mill increases, I think it's time to put an update on site just to see where we stand.

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capital - a rocket into orbit

What can I say, I closed my bullish positions to 6.14 thinking that the bull cycle had taken a break ... I then opened a short position in 6.34 to unlocking retracement ... all wrong! The energy invested upward of Capitalia me like a truck hits a pedestrian on the strips. It will be interesting to study the dynamics of this error. Certainly I'm not complaining, after Capitalia me satisfaction for some time and is teaching me important lessons. And then it is not said that you can not fall on the title before the big rise in the final that will take him far beyond today's values \u200b\u200b(7.80 in February 2007).

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reply to an email

I think in the long run you have the wrong perspective of the output to STM and by the book technical analysis is intended to test the head-neck-shoulder line of bull that you highlighted on your site, ie say, or you went out before or stay inside and bought back around 14.20 to 14.30. This is just my humble thoughts. E.
Answer: E. Hello, I'm always interested in the opinions of all, the comparison with other brain gratifies me, so thank you. Maybe you're right, it is likely that in the long term I was wrong. In the short to medium term, however, the built-in gain, and when it collects, the mistake appears to be at least mitigated. But we are analyzing. I state that the Nasdaq is going the same thing I wrote below. STM with the movement this week, still in progress, is providing an important signal, is shifting from one channel to another like a train in an exchange. The alternative channel that will route is positively oriented, but his inclination is very small when compared to that of the channel being abandoned. The involute dish support of this second channel passes around 12 € (I will be more precise with the upgrade) where the title should stop the descent and return to positive. When you check my hypothesis will consider returning. Thanks for the inspiring mail. See you soon. John

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closed on STM STM - short on CAPITALIA

STM now shown to be weak. In the short term appears to directly test the holding of a previous low. In this situation, I closed the position at 14.71 a bit bullish 'before the situation deteriorates further. I am pleased with the gain, are not for the analysis I did on the title which seemed a candidate to return to the highs. There is material to update the card. - I knew
CAPITALIA would stop short of the positive cycle, but I did not expect it to do so today and with so much strength. In the morning I opened a short position in 6.34 aware that he paid off to a lesser extent and only for a few weeks. Just did not think it would come instead immediately gain a drop of more than 2%. We'll see where it will stop, while the downside of today the weekly candle is going to draw will be negative and more importantly will be with the body below the line of the range of Gann analysis found that on Saturday 18 February.